Analysis of the Transitional Dynamics of Business Cycles in Algeria and their Reactions to Oil Price Shocks: Markov Switching Model
Abstract
The aim of this paper is to study the impacts of oil price shocks on business cycles dynamics in Algerian economy (1975-2017) by using non-linear MS model. The results show that positive shocks increase the possibility of staying in a boom phase, and they are also constituted as a way out of recession. However, negative shocks stimulate the duration of the recession and even lead to a shift from an expansion to a contraction phase.
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References
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