لعنة الموارد الطبيعية: اختبار تجريبي لعينة من البلدان النفطية باستخدام نماذج بانال الديناميكية
الكلمات المفتاحية:
البلدان النفطية, لعنة الموارد الطبيعية, نماذج بانال الديناميكية, GMM
الملخص
حاولت هذه الدراسة القيام باختبار تجريبي لمدى تعرض عينة من 30 بلد نفطي لما يسمى بلعنة الموارد الطبيعية وذلك بالاعتماد على بيانات البانال الممتدة خلال الفترة 1996-2017 ، باستخدام نماذج بانال الديناميكية وطريقة التقدير GMM، وتم اعتماد إجمالي ريع الموارد الطبيعية كنسبة من GDP كمؤشر على وفرة الموارد الطبيعية. يتضح من نتائج التقدير أن ريع الموارد النفطية له تأثير إيجابي على نصيب الفرد من الناتج المحلي الخام فكل زيادة بنسبة 1% في حجم ريع الموارد النفطية يقابله زيادة مقدارها 0.03% في نصيب الفرد من الناتج المحلي الخام وذلك مع ثبات كل العوامل الأخرى، كما أن معلمة ريع الموارد الطبيعية معنوية عند مستوى 10% ، ، ما يعني أنه لا أثر للعنة الموارد النفطية على النمو الاقتصادي في البلدان النفطية الثلاثين المدرجة في الدراسة.
المراجع
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38. Corden, W. M., & Neary, J. P. (1982). Booming sector and de-industrialisation in a small open economy. The economic journal, 92(368), 825-848.
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40. Gelb, A. H. (1988). Oil windfalls: Blessing or curse?. Oxford university press.
2. Henri, P. A. O. (2019). Natural resources curse: A reality in Africa. Resources policy, 63, 101406.
3. Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. (1995). Natural resource abundance and economic growth.
4. Sachs, J. D. (2007). How to handle the macroeconomics of oil wealth. Escaping the resource curse, 180.
5. Auty, R., & Warhurst, A. (1993). Sustainable development in mineral exporting economies. Resources Policy, 19(1), 14-29.
6. Gylfason, T., Herbertsson, T. T., & Zoega, G. (1999). A mixed blessing: natural resources and economic growth. Macroeconomic dynamics, 3(2), 204-225.
7. Gylfason, T. (2000). Resources, agriculture and economic growth in economies in transition. Agriculture and Economic Growth in Economies in Transition (July 2000).
8. Mehlum, H., Moene, K., & Torvik, R. (2006). Cursed by resources or institutions?. World Economy, 29(8), 1117-1131.
9. Nili, M., & Rastad, M. (2007). Addressing the growth failure of the oil economies: The role of financial development. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 46(5), 726-740.
10. Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (1997). NATURAL RESOURCE ABUNDANCE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH.
11. Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (1999). The big push, natural resource booms and growth. Journal of development economics, 59(1), 43-76.
12. Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (2001). The curse of natural resources. European economic review, 45(4-6), 827-838.
13. Gylfason, T. (2001). Natural resources, education, and economic development. European economic review, 45(4-6), 847-859.
14. Atkinson, G., & Hamilton, K. (2003). Savings, growth and the resource curse hypothesis. World development, 31(11), 1793-1807.
15. Gylfason, T., & Zoega, G. (2006). Natural resources and economic growth: The role of investment. World Economy, 29(8), 1091-1115.
16. Dietz, S., Neumayer, E., & De Soysa, I. (2007). Corruption, the resource curse and genuine saving. Environment and Development Economics, 12(1), 33-53.
17. Lederman, D., & Maloney, W. F. (2007). Neither curse nor destiny: Introduction to natural resources and development. Natural resources: Neither curse nor destiny, 1-14.
18. Bornhorst, F., Gupta, S., & Thornton, J. (2008). Natural resource endowments, governance, and the domestic revenue effort: evidence from a panel of countries.
19. Brunnschweiler, C. N., & Bulte, E. H. (2008). The resource curse revisited and revised: A tale of paradoxes and red herrings. Journal of environmental economics and management, 55(3), 248-264.
20. Alexeev, M., & Conrad, R. (2009). The elusive curse of oil. The review of Economics and Statistics, 91(3), 586-598.
21. Blanco, L., & Grier, R. (2012). Natural resource dependence and the accumulation of physical and human capital in Latin America. Resources Policy, 37(3), 281-295.
22. Apergis, N., & Payne, J. E. (2014). The oil curse, institutional quality, and growth in MENA countries: Evidence from time-varying cointegration. Energy Economics, 46, 1-9.
23. Farhadi, M., Islam, M. R., & Moslehi, S. (2015). Economic freedom and productivity growth in resource-rich economies. World Development, 72, 109-126.
24. Cockx, L., & Francken, N. (2016). Natural resources: A curse on education spending? Energy Policy, 92, 394–408.
25. Dwumfour, R. A., & Ntow-Gyamfi, M. (2018). Natural resources, financial development and institutional quality in Africa: is there a resource curse?. Resources Policy, 59, 411-426.
26. James, A. (2015). The resource curse: A statistical mirage?. Journal of Development Economics, 114, 55-63.
27. Collier, P., & Hoeffler, A. (2005). Resource rents, governance, and conflict. Journal of conflict resolution, 49(4), 625-633.
28. Marie-Claire Aoun, La rente pétrolière et le développement économique des pays exportateurs, thèse de doctorat, 2008.
29. Zakane, A. (2009). L'impact des depenses d'infrastructures sur la croissance en algerie. Une approche en series temporelles multi variees (var). les cahiers du cread, 87, 27-49.
30. Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The quarterly journal of economics, 70(1), 65-94.
31. Sala-i-Martin, X. X., & Barro, R. J. (1995). Technological diffusion, convergence, and growth (No. 735). Center Discussion Paper.
32. Barro, R. J. (2003). Determinants of economic growth in a panel of countries. Annals of economics and finance, 4, 231-274.
33. Bond, S. R. (2002). Dynamic panel data models: a guide to micro data methods and practice. Portuguese economic journal, 1(2), 141-162.
34. Holtz-Eakin, D., Newey, W., & Rosen, H. S. (1988). Estimating vector autoregressions with panel data. Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society, 1371-1395.
35. Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The review of economic studies, 58(2), 277-297.
36. Yaduma, N. (2018). Investigating the oil curse in OECD and Non-OECD oil-exporting economies using green measures of income. Environment, development and sustainability, 20(6), 2725-2745.
37. Roodman, D. (2009). How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata. The stata journal, 9(1), 86-136.
38. Corden, W. M., & Neary, J. P. (1982). Booming sector and de-industrialisation in a small open economy. The economic journal, 92(368), 825-848.
39. Corden, W. M. (1984). Booming sector and Dutch disease economics: survey and consolidation. oxford economic Papers, 36(3), 359-380.
40. Gelb, A. H. (1988). Oil windfalls: Blessing or curse?. Oxford university press.
منشور
2022-12-25
كيفية الاقتباس
حجيرة ع. ا. (2022). لعنة الموارد الطبيعية: اختبار تجريبي لعينة من البلدان النفطية باستخدام نماذج بانال الديناميكية. مجلة الامتياز لبحــوث الاقتصاد والادارة, 6(2), 393-410. https://doi.org/10.34118/jeemr.v6i2.3604
إصدار
القسم
Original Article
