Use of mathematical models to determine the severity of the Corona pandemic in Algeria for the period (01/03/2020 to 10/04/2020)

  • Mohamed Badaoui University of Laghouat
  • Salah ed dine Chalani University of Blida
Keywords: Epidemic, virus, Modeling, Spread, Risk

Abstract

The United Nations is the only country in the world that has been able to overcome the crisis. In the same context, scientists and researchers of all disciplines strive to find out the causes and methods of the spread of this virus and even its behavior. In our turn, we seek to study the behaviour of this virus through what is known as epidemiological modelling aimed at optimalunderstanding of the spread of the disease or epidemic, and it helps epidemiologists with very important fundamental issues such as: predicting the speed and magnitude of the spread of the epidemic, the effectiveness of the intervention strategy, testing hypotheses about transmission of the disease, control measures and the effects of migration ... Etc. This is why we will use the so-called SIR model to study the severity and spread of the Corona pandemic in Algeria between 01/03/2020 and 10/04/2020 by identifying an important parameter called the 'R0 reproduction rate' that determines the speed of the spread of the virus, in addition to calculating the rate of CFR infection that determines the severity of this epidemic in beginning, and accordingly determines the risk surrounding the population

Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

References

بابا، أحمد، (2010)، التحليل، ديوان المطبوعات الجامعية، الجزائر.

سعود وبن عيسى، محمود ولخظر، (2009)، التحليل الرياضي، الجزء الثاني، ديوان المطبوعات الجامعية، الجزائر.

حجازي، محمد، (2013)، المعادلات التفاضلية العادية، ديوان المطبوعات الجامعية، الجزائر.

كاثرين ودعاء، ساجد كريم وعادل محمد، (2017)، استخدام نموذج SIR في علم الاوبئة لحساب عدد السكان المعرضين والمصابين والمتعافين لبعض الامراض المعدية، شهادة بكالوريوس علوم في الرياضيات الطبية، بحث مقدم من أجل شهادة بكالوريوس علوم في الرياضيات الطبية، جامعة القادسية، العراق.

-شيماء جاسم السلطاني، (2017)، اللقاحات:

http://science.uobabylon.edu.iq/service_showrest.aspx?pubid=17610

Boularas, Driss et Daniel Fredon et Daniel Petit. (2009), Manuel Mathématiques pour les sciences de la vie et de l’environnement, Mini de Manual, Paris.

Bronson, R, Costa, G. differential equation, schaum’s outlines, Mcgraw-hill, New York, third edition.

Published
2020-06-30
How to Cite
Badaoui , M., & Chalani , S. ed dine. (2020). Use of mathematical models to determine the severity of the Corona pandemic in Algeria for the period (01/03/2020 to 10/04/2020). Social Empowerment Journal, 2(2), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.34118/sej.v2i2.1006
Section
Articles

Plum Analytics

Artifact Widget