أثر الاستقرار السياسي والحرية الاقتصادية على النمو الاقتصادي في دول أوربا وآسيا الوسطى خلال الفترة (1996-2018)، باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي بالتأخيرات الموزعة لمعطيات بانل (Panel ARDL).
Résumé
تهدف الدراسة لتحديد أثر الاستقرار السياسي والحرية الاقتصادية على النمو الاقتصادي في (43) دولة من دول أوربا وآسيا الوسطى خلال الفترة (1996-2018)، باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي بالتأخيرات الموزعة لمعطيات بانل (Panel ARDL)، وتوصلت الدراسة إلى أن النموذج الأفضل من خلال اختبار هوسمان هو نموذج التأثيرات الثابتة الديناميكي (DFE). وأظهرت نتائج الدراسة وجود علاقة طويلة الأجل بين الاستقرار السياسي والحرية الاقتصادية والنمو الاقتصادي، وبينت وجود أثر إيجابي للانفتاح التجاري ولرأس المال المادي في الأجل القصير، أما على المدى الطويل فجاءت كل متغيرات الدراسة وهي كل من الانفتاح التجاري، رأس المال المادي، الاستقرار السياسي والحرية الاقتصادية معنوية وذات أثر إيجابي على النمو الاقتصادي، أما اختبار السببية حسب (Dumitrescu-Hurlin) فكشف عن علاقة سببية ثنائية الاتجاه بين كل المتغيرات بلا استثناء والنمو الاقتصادي في دول أوربا وآسيا الوسطى.
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Copyright (c) 2021 Sid Ali Seghiri, Imad Rezazi, Mohamed Boulesnam
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