تحليل أثر تقلب سعر الصرف على أداء مؤشرات الأسهم الإسلامية: دراسة تجريبية لمؤشر داو جونز للسوق الإسلامي
Résumé
هدفت هذه الدراسة إلى قياس العلاقة بين تغيرات أسعار الصرف وتقلبات عوائد أسواق الأسهم الإسلامية في خمس أسواق ناشئة: الكويت، تركيا، الهند، الصين وماليزيا، باستخدام نموذج GARCH. وتم الاعتماد على بيانات يومية لأسعار الإغلاق لمؤشرات داو جونز للسوق الإسلامية مقومة بالعملة المحلية وأسعار الصرف للفترة مارس 2013 –مارس2019. أشارت نتائج البحث إلى معنوية الحساسية القوية لأسواق الأسهم الإسلامية لتقلبات أسعار الصرف، مما يعني أن التغيرات في سعر الصرف تلعب دورا هاما في تحديد ديناميكية عوائد أسواق الأسهم الإسلامية.
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